Release time : 2015-06-12 10:35:39
Tom Johnstone, President and CEO:
"We delivered a very strong third quarter result. However, towards the end of the quarter, with the dramatic events in the financial markets, we had lower volumes particularly in our automotive business, while volumes in our industrial business were strong. For the fourth quarter we expect slightly lower demand both compared to the third quarter this year and the fourth quarter last year. As a result of this we have intensified our actions addressing the cost and capital situation in the Group".
The increase of 8.7% in net sales for the quarter, in SEK, was attributable to:
volume 2.7 %, structure 0.5 %, price/mix 6.4 % and currency effects -0.9 %.
For the first nine months, the increase of 8.2% in SEK, was attributable to:
volume 4.5 %, structure 1.1 %, price/mix 4.6 % and currency effects -1.9 %.
Development in the third quarter 2008
(calculated in local currencies excl. structural effects and compared to the same period last year)
Sales were higher for the Group in total as well as for Europe and North America, for Asia and Latin America they were significantly higher. For the Industrial Division and the Service Division sales were significantly higher. For the Automotive Division sales were relatively unchanged.
The manufacturing level for the third quarter of 2008 was unchanged compared to the second quarter 2008 and slightly higher compared to the third quarter last year.
Outlook for the fourth quarter of 2008
The demand for SKF products and services, based on current assumptions, is expected to be slightly lower in the fourth quarter both compared to the third quarter this year (seasonally adjusted) and the fourth quarter last year. In Europe and North America the demand is expected to be slightly lower, in Latin America higher and in Asia significantly higher. From a divisional viewpoint, the demand is expected to be higher in the Industrial Division, slightly higher in the Service Division and significantly lower in the Automotive Division.
The manufacturing level for the Group in the fourth quarter will be lower to reflect this new demand situation and to reduce inventory.
The financial net in the third quarter of 2008 was SEK -226 million (-157), including revaluation of share swaps of SEK -7 million (-13). The financial net for the first nine months was SEK -499 million (-280), which includes the revaluation of share swaps amounting to SEK -10 million (45).
Key figures for the first nine months 2008 (first nine months 2007):
- Inventories, % of annual sales, 21.9% (19.3)
- ROCE for the 12-month period, 26.8% (25.9)
- ROE for the 12-month period, 28.6% (25.8)
- Equity/assets ratio, 34.5% (37.8)
- Gearing, 47.7% (41.4)
- Net debt/equity 76.6% (53.4)
- Registered number of employees on 30 September, 45,035 (42,393)
Cash flow, after operating investments and before financial items (i.e. excluding the effect of financial investments) was SEK -526 million (1,274) for the third quarter and SEK 215 million (1,509) for the first nine months. The cash flow includes acquisitions of SEK 1,054 million for the quarter and SEK 1,116 million for the first nine months.
Exchange rates for the third quarter of 2008, including the effects of translation and transaction flows, had a negative effect on SKF's operating profit of about SEK 90 million. Based on current assumptions and exchange rates, it is estimated that the positive effect for the fourth quarter of 2008 will be around SEK 100 million and for the full year a negative effect of around SEK 270 million.
Raw material and component prices are significantly higher for the Group for the first nine months of this year due to major increases at the start of the year and surcharges primarily related to scrap prices. SKF has been able to offset these higher costs through a combination of actions in sourcing, reducing costs in the operations and improved pricing. Scrap prices have been reducing recently affecting the surcharges but are still volatile. It is expected that the raw material and component prices in the fourth quarter will remain significantly higher than in the corresponding period last year but that these will also be offset.
Highlights in the third quarter
- announced it will be investing around SEK 400 million in its facilities in G?teborg, Sweden for a further increase of capacity for large size bearings. The new production line is expected to be ready for production during 2010.
- completed the acquisition of PEER Bearing Company (PEER) and its manufacturing operations in China and Thailand. The purchase price amounted to around USD 150 million. PEER's sales in 2007 amounted to around USD 100 million and the number of employees was about 1,600. PEER will be a wholly owned subsidiary of SKF Group and continue to operate independently on the market. The business will be reported outside the divisions. In the third quarter the acquisition is reported as other non-current asset.
- signed an agreement to acquire GLO s.r.I and its manufacturing operation in Italy. The acquisition is subject to certain conditions of closing and requires approvals by relevant authorities.
- was awarded a long-term contract to the value of more than EUR 11 million from Skoda Electric a.s. SKF will provide traction motor bearing units for the new Prague 15T low floor tramway generation.
- launched new condition based maintenance solutions to the railway industry to achieve lower cost over the products' life. These offers provide new opportunities to improve performance and safety.
- launched the first series of a new generation super-precision bearings. This new generation of bearings will give SKF's customers access to a broad product range with superior performance, in particular for demanding machine tool applications.
- launched through the network of SKF authorized distributors the latest SKF Energy Efficient performance class bearings.
- launched the Distributor Value Program to support SKF authorized distributors in documenting the value they bring to customers. This software based tool accurately calculates existing and expected savings customers achieve utilizing the various products and services provided by SKF Distributors. SKF is also using the SKF Documented Solutions Program to document the viability of specific savings the solutions bring to customers.
- was included in the Dow Jones Sustainability Indexes for the ninth year in succession.
The operating profit for the third quarter amounted to SEK 992 million (773), resulting in an operating margin of 12.4% (11.0) on sales including intra-Group sales. The operating profit for the first nine months amounted to SEK 2,982 million (2,570), resulting in an operating margin of 12.2% (11.8). Sales including intra-Group sales for the third quarter were SEK 8,029 million (7,027), and for the first nine months SEK 24,414 million (21,708).
Net sales for the third quarter amounted to SEK 5,458 million (4,708) and for the first nine months SEK 16,638 million (14,728). The increase of 15.9% for the quarter was attributable to: organic growth 14.8%, structure 1.3%, and currency effects -0.2%. For the first nine months, the increase in net sales, in SEK, of 13.0% was attributable to: organic growth 11.5%, structure 3.2% and currency effects -1.7%.
Sales in local currencies for the third quarter were significantly higher in all regions. The main segments showing a good development were energy, mining, agriculture, fluid power, industrial gearboxes and construction equipment.
The operating profit for the third quarter amounted to SEK 849 million (676), resulting in an operating margin of 14.5% (12.9). The operating profit for the first nine months amounted to SEK 2,366 million (2,002), resulting in an operating margin of 13.8% (13.1). Sales including intra-Group sales for the third quarter were SEK 5,863 million (5,223), and for the first nine months SEK 17,196 million (15,316).
Net sales for the third quarter amounted to SEK 5,315 million (4,792) and for the first nine months SEK 15,603 million (14,015). The increase of 10.9% for the quarter was attributable to: organic growth 13.2%, structure -0.4%, and currency effects -1.9%. For the first nine months, the increase in net sales, in SEK, of 11.3% was attributable to: organic growth 14.2%, structure 0.4% and currency effects -3.3%.
Sales in local currencies for the third quarter were higher in Europe and North America and significantly higher in Asia and Latin America.
The operating profit for the third quarter amounted to SEK 326 million (318), resulting in an operating margin of 5.7% (5.6). The operating profit for the first nine months amounted to SEK 1,132 million (1,092), resulting in an operating margin of 6.2% (6.1). Sales including intra-Group sales for the third quarter were SEK 5,675 million (5,647), and for the first nine months SEK 18,141 million (17,841).
Net sales for the third quarter amounted to SEK 4,573 million (4,635) and for the first nine months SEK 14,739 million (14,685). The decrease of 1.3% for the quarter was attributable to: organic growth -0.9%, structure 0.1%, and currency effects -0.5%. For the first nine months, the increase in net sales, in SEK, of 0.4% was attributable to: organic growth 1.8%, structure -0.7% and currency effects -0.7%.
Sales in local currencies for the third quarter were significantly lower to the car and light truck industry in Europe and North America. Sales to the heavy truck industry were higher in Europe and North America. Sales to the vehicle service market were slightly lower in Europe, lower in North America and slightly higher in Asia. Sales to the electrical industry were lower in Europe and sales to the two-wheeler industry in Asia were significantly higher.
Previous outlook statement
Outlook for the third quarter of 2008
(compared to the second quarter 2008 and adjusted for seasonality)
The market demand for SKF's products and services in the third quarter of 2008 is expected to be higher for the Group. The demand is expected to be higher in Europe, slightly lower in North America and significantly higher in both Asia and Latin America. The demand is expected to be higher in the Industrial Division and the Service Division and relatively unchanged for the Automotive Division.
The manufacturing level for the third quarter 2008 will be unchanged compared to the second quarter 2008, and slightly higher than the third quarter 2007.
Highlights in the previous quarters
- acquired QPM Aerospace's metallic rod business located in Monroe, USA. QPM will be the platform for SKF's growth in the aerospace rod sector in North America.
- was awarded a contract valued of more than EUR 5 million by Siemens Transportation Systems, for the long-distance Railjet trains used by Austrian Federal Railways, ?BB.
- secured a contract with Goldwind Science and Technologies Co. Ltd, China, to supply the main shaft seals for their new 1.5 MW gearless wind turbine.
- opened a machine tool competence centre, located in Stuttgart, Germany.
- was awarded a five year contract with British Petroleum to provide proactive reliability maintenance services for all their upstream oil and gas assets in the UK continental shelf, including on-shore processing facilities.
- signed an agreement to acquire the US based company PEER Bearing Company.
- announced the increase in manufacturing capacity for large and medium size bearings at the new SKF factory in Dalian, China.
- sold the operating assets of Roller Bearing Industries, Inc., USA.
- distributed an ordinary dividend of SEK 2,277 million together with the redemption of shares of SEK 2,277 million, a total of SEK 4,554 million, to the shareholders.
- established a global training programme together with Nestl??| with the focus to reduce unplanned mechanical failures.
- launched the SKF Certified Rebuilder programme for electric motors, in Europe and Latin America
- appointed by GM to supply 100% of the X-tracker hub bearing unit for the front and rear axle to the Corvette ZR1.
Risks and uncertainties in the business
SKF Group operates in many different industrial, automotive and geographical segments that are at different stages of the economic cycle. A general economic downturn at global level, or in one of the world's leading economies, could reduce the demand for the Group's products, solutions and services for a period of time. In addition, terrorism and other hostilities, as well as disturbances in worldwide financial markets, could have a negative effect on the demand for the Group's products and services.
The SKF Group is subject to both transaction and translation of currency exposure. For commercial flows the SKF Group is primarily exposed to the USD and to US dollar-related currencies. As the major part of the profit is made outside Sweden, the Group is also exposed to translational risks in all the major currencies. The Parent company performs services of a common Group character. The financial position of the parent company is dependent on the financial position and development of the subsidiaries. A general decline in the demand for the products and services provided by the Group could mean lower dividend income for the Parent company, as well as a need for writing down values of the shares in the subsidiaries. The risk of the financial position of the Parent company being negatively affected is considered small due to the vast diversity of markets, geographically and operationally in which the subsidiaries operate.
This report contains forward-looking statements that are based on the current expectations of the management of SKF. Although management believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to have been correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those implied in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes
in economic, market and competitive conditions, changes in the regulatory environment and other government actions, fluctuations in exchange rates and other factors mentioned in
SKF's latest annual report (available on http://www.skf.com www.skf.com ) under the Administration Report;
"Most important factors influencing the financial results", "Financial risks" and "Sensitivity analysis", and in this quarterly report under "Risks and uncertainties in the business."